Multiple states are at risk of flash flooding on Thursday, with severe weather warnings issued in New South Wales, Queensland and Tasmania.
Ilana Cherny, a senior meteorologist at the Bureau of Meteorology, said the wet weather battering eastern Australia was being driven by a broad low-pressure trough that had drawn in “a lot of tropical moisture across the region”.
“In the midst of that trough, a low pressure system is developing and is slowly going to move offshore of New South Wales during Friday,” she said.
Heavy rainfall, with the potential to cause flash flooding, was forecast for parts of the NSW mid-north coast, the Hunter and adjacent districts from Thursday afternoon.
Senior BoM meteorologist Jonathan How said the low pressure system was expected on Friday to continue to drive heavy rainfall there. “We could see heavy falls and there is a possibility of flooding,” he said.
How added that showers would clear away from Sydney and the central coast into the middle of Friday.
It came as NRMA roadside assistance employees in Canberra, Sydney, Newcastle and Wollongong began a 24-hour strike – expected to end at midnight – over pay and conditions, a representative for the Australian Manufacturing Workers Union said.
Heavy rainfall was also forecast on Thursday for southern and south-east parts of Queensland, including the Darling Downs Wide Bay and Burnett regions.
“Severe thunderstorms are also possible through to the Brisbane area and the south-east coast,” Cherny said, adding there was a risk of damaging wind gusts and large hail.
“We are expecting further severe thunderstorm warnings to be issued throughout the day, particularly through parts of southern Queensland and New South Wales,” she said.
Brisbane was hit by severe weather on Wednesday, with access to many roads temporarily cut as rain hammered down from the north. The city recorded 43mm of rain by 8.30am on Thursday.
There were also significant rainfall totals in Queensland’s parched southern interior and Darling Downs. The highest total in the 24 hours to 7am on Thursday was 88mm at Tindarra on Bungil Creek, near Roma in the state’s central west. More rain was expected on Thursday, in good news for the region’s farmers.
In Tasmania, flood warnings were in place for the St Paul’s River and the South Esk River. Eastern parts of the state saw rainfall totals over 100mm, with 251mm recorded at Gray.
The rainfall was expected to ease over the weekend as the low pressure system moves offshore, but “we could see some hazardous surf redeveloping up the east coast”, Cherny said.
From Friday evening, “a broad ridge of high pressure” would maintain “mostly mild and dry conditions across northern Australia”, How said.
In the BoM’s latest long-range forecast, released on Thursday afternoon, it said while late autumn rain in the east and west could ease recent dry conditions for some areas, rainfall was likely to be below average for much of Australia over winter.
“Most agricultural regions in the country’s south had an early autumn break in March,” said BoM climatologist David Wilson. “Autumn break rainfall is yet to arrive in a few areas, including central Victoria.”
“Many sites had their highest May temperatures on record,” Wilson said. This included Hobart, which recorded a high of 26.9C on 1 May – its highest temperature for the month since records began in 1882.
The climate crisis is making Australia more vulnerable to extreme weather and natural disasters, including intense rainfall. For each 1C of warming, the atmosphere can hold 7% more moisture. Rainfall intensities can be greater than this because, as raindrops form, they also release energy into a system.
– with AAP
