I don’t really have a sense of who leaked the “news” of Prince Harry’s supposedly successful Home Office risk assessment. If the story genuinely came from Team Sussex, it was a smart move from them, to put it out there that the Home Office risk assessment will find that Harry, Meghan and their children should receive police protection whenever they visit the UK. When the risk assessment is completed, it will be sent to Ravec, which ultimately has the authority to follow the risk assessment or disregard it to continue “punishing” Harry for the crime of “leaving.” This amounts to a highly-publicized pressure campaign aimed at Ravec, and Harry (or whoever leaked the story) is ensuring that Ravec cannot make their decision in total secrecy. Speaking of, Tom Sykes has recovered from the flu and his latest piece is “Prince Harry’s Security Win Will Sicken William.” This piece is yet another admission that William and all of the royal courts are in control of who gets police security and who doesn’t, and that William is going to have a nervous breakdown if Harry is allowed to come and go safely to and from the UK. From The Royalist Substack:
Sources are now briefing journalists that they believe [Harry’s] police protection will be restored. If this turns out to be true, it changes absolutely everything. This is the fight Harry has spent millions of dollars pursuing, the case he himself described as the most important of all.
Why does it matter so much? Because it blows apart what many insiders assumed was the establishment’s long-term plan for dealing with Harry: exile. The model here was Edward VIII, later Duke of Windsor, who was neutralized and rendered irrelevant through banishment.
Without security, Harry’s trips back to the U.K. are complicated and expensive. But if Harry gets his security back, exile is effectively over. He can come and go from the U.K. at will, at no personal cost. He may also regain international protected-person status, entitling him to U.K. government security even overseas. It would be hugely expensive, but cost is not really the issue bothering his brother. The real issue is the impression of legitimacy. Harry being whisked through London with a police escort sends a particular message about his position. Security coverage for him and his family would reopen many doors that have been firmly shut for years.
I have reported before that Harry intends to educate his children in England. I was once told—wrongly, Harry himself later said—that Eton was being considered, but my sources remain convinced that he wants them back in the U.K. Partly this is about establishing them as members of the British royal family, but another factor is Harry’s anxiety about gun crime in the United States.
A victory on security will enable a return, not as a contrite prodigal, but as the head of a parallel court: trading on royal status while remaining entirely free of royal discipline. For William and Catherine, Princess of Wales, preparing for an eventual change of reign, this is an appalling prospect.
For Harry, it is a huge opportunity. Things have not gone the way the Sussexes hoped in America. Commercial ventures have faltered, the charity has been shuttered and restructured. Harry wouldn’t be the first Brit to return home from the U.S. with his tail between his legs, but resolved to apply the lessons of America at home. Winning security back will give him the chance to do that without massive up-front costs, and money is going to be an important theme for the Sussexes this year.
Sources close to Harry remain nervous. They fear a last-minute stitch-up by RAVEC, even if the Risk Management Board rules in his favor. They are not quite ready to declare victory. But my view is that it is hard to see how this doesn’t end with Harry getting what he wants.
“…The charity has been shuttered and restructured…” Which is it? Either it was shuttered OR restructured, it can’t be both? The answer is: restructured and rebanded with a new name. While it’s clear that the Sussexes are making some changes professionally and philanthropically, those changes do not equal “Harry moving back to the UK with his tail between his legs.” That’s the second time I’ve seen that phrase about “his tail between his legs” too – almost like that was in the palace’s email blast. Anyway, I wouldn’t be surprised if William is having a breakdown over the idea of Harry coming and going as he pleases, or Harry being treated as a VIP with police protection. But alongside that incipient breakdown is the big reveal that William and Charles withdrew Harry’s security as part of a larger plan of exile, humiliation, scapegoating and, eventually, their hope for Harry’s return to the UK, broken and humiliated. Six years later and they’re still holding on to that fever dream, even as it’s already blown up in their faces.


Photos courtesy of Avalon Red, Cover Images.
- Prince Harry and Meghan Markle, Duke and Duchess of Sussex arrive for a service of thanksgiving for the reign of Queen Elizabeth II at St Paul’s Cathedral in London, Friday, June 3, 2022 on the second of four days of celebrations to mark the Platinum Jubilee. The events over a long holiday weekend in the U.K. are meant to celebrate the monarch’s 70 years of service.,Image: 696621832, License: Rights-managed, Restrictions: -, Model Release: no, Credit line: Matt Dunham / Avalon
- The Duke and Duchess of Sussex leave the National Service of Thanksgiving at St Paul’s Cathedral, London, on day two of the Platinum Jubilee celebrations for Queen Elizabeth II. The National Service marks The Queen’s 70 years of service to the people of the United Kingdom, the Realms and the Commonwealth. Public service is at the heart of the event and over 400 recipients of Honours in the New Year or Birthday Honours lists have been invited in recognition of their contribution to public life. Drawn from all four nations of the United Kingdom, they include NHS and key workers, teaching staff, public servants, and representatives from the Armed Forces, charities, social enterprises and voluntary groups.,Image: 696633859, License: Rights-managed, Restrictions: -, Model Release: no, Credit line: Kirsty O’Connor / Avalon
- The Duke and Duchess of Sussex arrive at St Paul’s cathedral for the service of thanksgiving for the Queen.,Image: 696641183, License: Rights-managed, Restrictions: -, Model Release: no, Credit line: Richard Pohle / Avalon
- Meghan, Duchess of Sussex, and Prince Harry, Duke of Sussex arrive for the National Service of Thanksgiving at St Paul’s Cathedral on June 03, 2022 in London, England. The Platinum Jubilee of Elizabeth II is being celebrated from June 2 to June 5, 2022, in the UK and Commonwealth to mark the 70th anniversary of the accession of Queen Elizabeth II on 6 February 1952.,Image: 696678053, License: Rights-managed, Restrictions: -, Model Release: no, Credit line: ARTHUR EDWARDS / Avalon
- NMA ROTA The Prince of Wales visits l Skills, a youth organisation in Lambeth, who have received funding from the Homewards Fund to expand their services for young people in the local area. The Homewards Fund aims to support the delivery of work in the six Homewards flagship locations and offers up to £500,000 of flexible seed funding in each location. Spiral Skills was founded in 2015 and works with local schools, youth organisations, and authorities to provide early intervention, holistic support, employability skills, and access to employment and services for undeserved 14–25-year-olds. The organisation provides a range of services including career coaching, employment opportunities and workshops to help break the cycles of exclusion and unemployment for young people in the local community. The Prince met Fara Williams ex professional footballer,Image: 1035526672, License: Rights-managed, Restrictions: *** NO UK USE FOR 48 HRS ***, Model Release: no, Credit line: Ian Vogler/Avalon
- London, UK, 09 December 2025: London, UK, 09 December 2025: William, Prince of Wales, Patron of Centrepoint visits the charity’s new offices in London to mark his 20th anniversary as their Patron. Centrepoint is one of His Royal Highness’s longest Patronages, having taken over from his mother Princess Diana. Accompanied by Seyi Obakin OBE, CEO Centrepoint.,Image: 1057917981, License: Rights-managed, Restrictions: *** NO UK USE FOR 48 HRS ***, Model Release: no, Credit line: Eddie Mulholland/Avalon
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Service of Thanksgiving for the Queen, marking the monarch’s 70 year Platinum Jubilee, at St Paul`s Cathedral
-PICTURED: Prince Harry Duke of Sussex and Meghan Markle Duchess of Sussex
-PHOTO by: Dutch Press Photo/Cover Images/INSTARimages.com
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Featuring: Prince Harry Duke of Sussex and Meghan Markle Duchess of Sussex
Where: London, England, United Kingdom
When: 03 Jun 2022
Credit: Dutch Press Photo/Cover Images/INSTARimages.com**NOT AVAILABLE FOR PUBLICATION IN THE NETHERLANDS OR FRANCE**
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North America Rights Only, London, England – 20220603- National Service of Thanksgiving On Day Two Of The Platinum Jubilee Celebrations
-PICTURED: Prince Harry
-PHOTO by: PA Images/INSTARimages.com
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This is an editorial, rights-managed image. Please contact INSTAR Images for licensing fee and rights information at sales@instarimages.com or call +1 212 414 0207. This image may not be published in any way that is, or might be deemed to be, defamatory, libelous, pornographic, or obscene. Please consult our sales department for any clarification needed prior to publication and use. INSTAR Images reserves the right to pursue unauthorized users of this material. If you are in violation of our intellectual property rights or copyright you may be liable for damages, loss of income, any profits you derive from the unauthorized use of this material and, where appropriate, the cost of collection and/or any statutory damages awarded
For images containing underage children: Be advised that some Countries may have restricted privacy laws against publishing images of underage children. Inform yourself! Underage children may need to be removed or have their face pixelated before publishingFeaturing: Prince Harry
Where: London, England, United Kingdom
When: 03 Jun 2022
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The Prince of Wales meets participants of the Generation Earthshot Programme, at Maracana Stadium in Rio de Janeiro, on day one of his visit to Brazil for the annual Earthshot Prize Awards
Featuring: Prince William
Where: Rio de Janeiro, Brazil
When: 03 Nov 2025
Credit: Aaron Chown/PA Images/INSTARimages**NORTH AMERICA RIGHTS ONLY**
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The Prince of Wales takes part in a community football event, with community leaders and local young people who run and participate in football programmes across the city and the state, at Maracana Stadium in Rio de Janeiro, on day one of his visit to Brazil for the annual Earthshot Prize Awards
Featuring: Prince William
Where: Rio de Janeiro, Brazil
When: 03 Nov 2025
Credit: Aaron Chown/PA Images/INSTARimages**NORTH AMERICA RIGHTS ONLY**
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The Prince of Wales takes part in a game of volleyball with players from thee Levante Institute, a local beach volleyball school, at Copacabana Beach in Rio de Janeiro, on day one of his visit to Brazil for the annual Earthshot Prize Awards
Featuring: Prince William
Where: Rio de Janeiro, Brazil
When: 03 Nov 2025
Credit: Aaron Chown/PA Images/INSTARimages**NORTH AMERICA RIGHTS ONLY**
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Prince William, Prince of Wales during a visit to Ilha de Paqueta, on day two of his trip to Brazil for the annual Earthshot Prize Award
Featuring: Prince William, Prince of Wales
Where: Ilha de Paqueta, Brazil
When: 04 Nov 2025
Credit: PA Images/INSTARimages**NORTH AMERICA RIGHTS ONLY**
